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The latest in our series that uses the ‘book review’ format as a springboard into a wider conversation about the world of work—and how to do it better.
Principles: Life & Work by Ray Dalio
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‘Principles,’ says Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s most successful hedge fund, ‘are ways of successfully dealing with reality to get what you want out of life.’ His stated personal goal of ‘meaningful work and meaningful relationships’ is one most of us could subscribe to, and his fundamental question is: ‘Are you willing to fight to find out what’s true?’ By the end of his book, you may wonder if you’ve been fighting hard enough.
The first part of Principles is a context-setting memoir. Dalio tells how, as a teen, he put his caddying money into some stocks and saw them triple in value almost overnight. It was dumb luck, but he was hooked. Frustrated by rote learning at high school, he thrived at the local college and later attended Harvard Business School. After a stint as a commodities trader at Merrill Lynch, he started his own investment firm and had great success before spectacularly backing the wrong horse during the Latin American debt crisis of the late 1970s. As a self-confessed ‘arrogant’ 34-year-old, he even testified before Congress about why a bear market was on the way, before events proved him completely wrong. He had to lay off his staff and even borrow $4,000 from his father to pay his family bills.
This painful failure changed his outlook and set him on a new path. Dalio said to himself: ‘Rather than thinking “I’m right,” ask the question: “How do I know I’m right?”’ To make money as an investor, he knew he had to bet against prevailing opinion and be right. After all, as he puts it, ‘the consensus is already baked into the price’. So his quest became to find the smartest people possible who would be unafraid to disagree with him, then use their combined powers of reasoning to distinguish truth from opinion and conjecture. His rise, fall, and rise again is the story of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund.
Incidentally, Dalio was also one of the few voices to anticipate the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-8 which brought Bridgewater into the spotlight. He decided to release, for free on the internet, a document he’d meticulously compiled, listing two hundred or so ‘principles’, previously only available to employees. After it was downloaded over 3 million times, he decided to expand them with even more rigour into the published version. The book’s second part is called ‘Life Principles’ and the final section is ‘Work Principles’.
The quest for truth
Dalio designed his organisation to be an ‘idea meritocracy’, or ‘let the best idea win’. It’s not an autocracy, where he would make the decisions, nor is it a democracy. When it comes to determining the principles which underlie any given situation, such as whether or not a given asset class will rise or fall, everyone gets a say. Crucially, though, not everyone’s say is equal. The views of those with a track record of success are given more weight than someone with less experience or knowledge. In fact, everyone has a ‘believability rating’—and everyone can see everyone else’s rating in a kind of ‘baseball card’ listing a lot of other attributes. It’s all about understanding ‘how other people are wired’ so they can understand their colleagues’ humanness and fallibility. And their own. Patented apps such as the Dot Collector, in which people rate everyone else in a meeting in real time, add to the firm’s mystique.
All this stems from the two necessary conditions Dalio proposed for the development of a culture that could support an idea meritocracy—radical truthfulness and radical transparency. In most organisations, these commodities are in very short supply, as is his dogged persistence in getting down to root causes. It is the human power to reason that allows us to achieve great things. Yet too often satisficing using proximate causes gets in the way of clear thinking. In tracking causation through Socratic inquiry (‘Why do you think that?’ ‘What could we assume instead?’ ‘How is this similar to another decision?’), Dalio shares much with Eli Goldratt (see my post on It’s Not Luck).
‘Triangulating your view with believable people who are willing to disagree’ is how he believes we get at the truth of a situation. And ‘thoughtful disagreement’ is something few people are able to pursue, he contends, because emotions get in the way. Dalio credits Transcendental Meditation as an aid to ‘getting above’ his own emotions. For a non-academic, he has also dived deep into neuroscience and psychology; the reading list at the book’s end offers a great survey of current thinking that any of us can learn from without a specialist background.
I was pleased to see that Bridgewater uses Elliot Jaques’ Stratified Systems Theory as one of its tools for categorising people’s capabilities, although it’s only mentioned in passing. While we tend to accept that people have different natural physical attributes, such as height, strength or hand-eye coordination, most of us instinctively shy away from the idea that people have different cognitive horsepower. Jaques, though, offers ‘modes of thinking’ that relate to an individual’s ability to handle complexity and different time horizons, collected from thousands of data points. (But more on him in a later article.)
“Those are my principles, and if you don’t
like them…well, I have others.”—Groucho Marx
Unusually for a CEO, Dalio has opened up his business to outside academic scrutiny, with case studies appearing in Adam Grant’s Originals, Robert Kegan’s An Everyone Culture and Edward Hess’s Learn or Die. All experienced the culture firsthand, sitting in on meetings in which people’s performance was criticised and the details shared to anyone curious to know.
Hess found that when he later shared Dalio’s principles in 2013 with ‘sixty-five smart, second-year MBA students’ and asked if they would like to work in a company like that, only three actually raised their hands. People who have excelled academically—always being praised and experiencing little failure along the way—seem to have a harder time accepting criticism when it comes. And it comes to everyone. In fact, employee retention is one of Dalio’s top areas of focus as he moves into a mentoring role. According to Hess, about 25% of new hires leave within 18 months. Bridgewater’s challenge is to find enough smart people who believe in radical transparency. Talk of ‘getting in sync’ can indeed make Bridgewater sound like it puts the ‘cult’ in culture. But my feeling is that such phrases are more like a shorthand, mantras that help speed things along for the people concerned.
Hess goes as far as to say that, by embracing scientific developments in learning, Dalio has furthered Peter Senge’s work set out in The Fifth Discipline (a standard text here at Ensemble), stressing Dalio’s focus on the ‘feedback loop’ and stating that ‘the rate and quality of an organization’s improvement and learning is highly dependent on how effectively and quickly it can process feedback loops’.
Pain + Reflection = Progress
In Originals, Adam Grant does challenge Dalio on having so many principles, not so much accusing him of the Groucho Marx quip as citing evidence that ‘the more principles you have, the greater the odds that employees focus on different values or interpret the same values differently’. Dalio’s response is that ‘a principle is just some type of event happening over and over again and how to deal with that event. Life consists of billions of these events, and if you can go from those billions to 250, you can make the connection, “Ah, this is one of those.”’ Dalio did agree, however, that the hierarchy of principles could be clearer; some are more important than others.
Dalio claims his principles can apply to any organisation and, indeed, to life in general. Reading the book, I was constantly caught between thinking that, on the one hand, these are great ideas while on the other questioning what it would really take to be radically truthful and transparent. I’ve always run Ensemble on the basis of open communication, for example, opening up our books and proposals to anyone in the organisation. I confess, though, that the idea of recording every significant meeting for anyone’s ears would be a challenge. Possibly so much recording actually allows some things to hide in plain sight. After all, who will take the trouble to sift through it all?
If I have a quibble with Dalio’s style it’s his propensity to imagine that every aspect of human endeavour can be reduced to an algorithm. He sees the organisation as a machine. As a systems thinker and engineer myself, I applaud his determination to understand how every element of the system interacts, but I find the metaphor overly mechanistic. In Team of Teams, Stanley McChrystal presents leadership in terms of being a gardener who prepares the soil and plants the seeds. This resonates more with my view that human beings and social systems shouldn’t be reduced to cogs in a big predictive machine. But Dalio’s storytelling belies that thought and he’s so passionate about his principles—even while inviting you to challenge his ideas with your own—that it’s easy to see past the negative connotations of the metaphor and accept the underlying message.
A final observation: although Bridgewater has been criticised by several journalists who sought out disgruntled ex-employees for stories of cultish devotion and boorish behaviour, the three leading academics in the organisational learning field mentioned above all left the firm with the highest opinions of Dalio and the ‘unique culture’ he had built. In the end, you’ll have to judge for yourself. Which is exactly what Ray Dalio would like you to do.
Questions to think about:
• Have you spent any significant time thinking about your own principles?
• Do you write down your reasons for making decisions at the time, then return to analyse them in light of the consequences?
• What would it take to introduce Radical Transparency in your organisation?
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What’s next?
The change from standard thinking to Theory of Constraints (TOC) is both profound and exhilarating. To make it both fun and memorable, we use a business simulation we call The Right Stuff Workshop.
We’d love to run it with you. To learn more:
- download the brochure (no email required)
- schedule a call
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[Background photo by Aaron Burden on Unsplash]‘There are three constants in life,
change, choice and principles’—Steven Covey____________________________
Understanding the Jobs Patients Need Doing
A patient may ask for a smaller device, a clearer display or an easier app. Those requests matter, but they leave a deeper question unanswered: what is the person trying to accomplish, and why does the current approach make it difficult?
Someone using a monitoring device may want to understand whether their condition is changing, decide when to seek help or manage daily activities with greater confidence. The device is one means of achieving that outcome.
A powerful question asks how well your organization understands the jobs patients are trying to get done. A strong answer connects patient research with clearly defined outcome statements that become the formal user needs your teams use to build the design history file. Outcome-based user needs are easier to validate, flow more easily into design requirements, and result in faster time to market.
“A feature request describes a possible answer. Understanding the patient’s job to be done sets your design team up to deliver a better solution faster.”
Define the job from the patient perspective
A useful job statement describes an activity the patient needs to accomplish in a relevant context. It should remain understandable without naming your product or preferred technology.
“Use our app every day” describes behavior your organization wants. “Provide a way to recognize when a change in my condition requires professional advice” describes the outcome a patient actually desires.
The distinction affects research. If the team starts with the app, it will ask how to improve screens and interactions. Starting with the job opens questions about information, confidence, timing and support. The best solution may involve changes beyond the app.
Define a scope the team can investigate. “Live a healthier life” expresses an aspiration but is too broad to guide detailed engineering decisions on its own. “Minimize the time it takes to find a solution to my health concern without needing to talk to a doctor or call someone” gives a team a direction, a measure, an object of control and contextual clarifier(s).
Distinguish the job from the journey
Journey mapping shows how people move through a particular care pathway. Job mapping examines what they must accomplish to achieve their purpose, including the work surrounding the interaction with your solution.
The two perspectives complement each other. A journey may show that a patient waits for follow-up. The job perspective asks what they are trying to understand or decide while waiting.
This matters because current processes can become embedded in the team’s assumptions. Patients may need a reliable way to recognize an important change; they do not necessarily need the exact sequence of activities currently provided.
Use the journey to understand context and dependencies. Use the job to examine whether a different approach could help the patient achieve the desired outcome more effectively.
Study daily life where it happens
Patient research begins with observation and empathy interviews at the Gemba, the place where the activity actually occurs.
For patients, that place includes the home and the settings in which they manage health alongside ordinary responsibilities. Ask people to demonstrate routines, explain decisions and describe recent experiences.
Observe what they do. Immerse yourself in the circumstances surrounding the activity. Engage through questions that let them explain their purpose in their own language.
A person may say that managing treatment is straightforward while observation reveals multiple reminders, improvised storage or reliance on a partner. Those arrangements can reveal effort and uncertainty that have become familiar enough to go unreported.
The aim is to understand the why your solution will win before making any decisions about what your solution will do. Customers will want your solution because of the outcomes it gives them, not because of what you made.
Recruit for differences that affect the job
Patients with the same diagnosis may struggle with different parts of an activity. Differences in confidence, experience, resources and support can change how they define success.
Recruit participants whose circumstances reflect the population you intend to serve. Include relevant variations in health literacy, technology familiarity, physical ability and access to care. Are you targeting the tech savvy millennial, a busy parent trying to run a family with four kids or a retiree living in a managed healthcare facility?
Research should also examine emotional and social needs. A patient may want reassurance about managing a task alone or worry about drawing attention to a condition. Keep these needs visible alongside functional outcomes without assuming one design choice resolves them all.
Examine the complete job
The job mapping framework divides a job into eight recurring steps. These steps prompt investigation beyond the most visible interaction.
- Define. Establish what the patient needs to achieve and the circumstances that matter.
- Locate. Establish how the patient will find the information, materials or support required, including your solution.
- Prepare. Uncover how the patient will arrange the environment and resources for the job to be done.
- Confirm. Understand how the patient will make the decision to go forward with your solution and determine whether everything is ready for the intended next action steps.
- Execute. What outcomes matter to the patient as they get your solution and start using it. Often this is the ONLY job step the team looks at.
- Monitor. How will the patient assess and know for sure your solution is progressing successfully.
- Modify. Rarely do things work perfectly on the first try. Identify outcomes that are important to the patient when adjustments to the approach are needed when conditions or results require it.
- Conclude. Complete the set of outcomes by understanding how the patient completes the activity or prepares to repeat it.
Apply these prompts to actual patient work. Some steps may recur or overlap. The map should help the team discover needs, rather than force experience into an artificial sequence.
“The most useful innovation may help a patient prepare, recognize an exception or recover confidence before it changes the device itself.”
Turn patient language into outcome statements
Interviews generate verbatims: patients’ own descriptions of experiences, difficulties and expectations. Preserve that evidence, then interpret what each statement reveals about the job.
An illustrative verbatim might be, “I keep checking because I don’t know whether the reading matters.” The desired outcome may concern recognizing a meaningful change or understanding what action is appropriate.
A structured outcome statement identifies the direction of improvement, a measure, the object being controlled and relevant context. For example: “Minimize the time required to determine whether a change in a reading requires contacting my care team.”
Ask the team if there are uncovered outcomes that can set your solution apart related to how it is purchased, installed, received, set up, learned with training support, transported, maintained, upgraded, replaced or disposed.
This formulation gives research and design a clearer target. It does not establish a clinical threshold or promise that a device can safely make the decision independently, but often the features that will make your solution “easy to use” or set you apart will come from these outcome statements.
Preserve meaning as you organize the evidence
Several comments may describe the same need. One comment may contain multiple needs. Review the evidence carefully before combining it into a set of outcomes.
Remove duplication, separate distinct outcomes and retain links to the original accounts. Use plain language that patients can understand. Avoid embedding a particular feature in the statement.
Check the interpretation with participants or other appropriate reviewers. “I want fewer notifications” might mean reducing irrelevant interruptions while preserving important information. Treating it as a demand to suppress all alerts would misrepresent the need.
The output should be a coherent set of outcomes organized by job step. Completeness and clarity matter but typically it is ideal to have at least 100 and no more than 200 outcome statements for the team.
Measure importance and satisfaction separately
Qualitative research discovers needs and explains them. Quantitative research helps determine how widely they matter and how well existing approaches satisfy them.
Ask patients to rate the importance of each outcome and their satisfaction with their current ability to achieve it. Make the reference situation clear so respondents evaluate comparable experiences.
A high scoring importance outcome with low satisfaction deserves investigation. High satisfaction may indicate that the need is already well served so the team can use what already exists and put more time in creating innovative solutions to high importance low satisfaction outcomes. Low importance can reduce its priority, although clinical safety requirements cannot be dismissed through a popularity score.
Use a research design appropriate to the intended population. The outcome statements are easy to rate on a five point Likert scale. Choose population quantitative research in alignment with your target persona groups.
Identify opportunities within patient segments
The Outcome Driven Innovation approach uses importance and satisfaction to identify underserved outcomes. Its opportunity calculation adds importance to the positive gap between importance and satisfaction.
Use compatible scales and a clearly defined calculation. Interpret the result alongside the underlying responses, research quality and the clinical context.
Examine differences between groups. An outcome that appears adequately served overall may remain difficult for patients with less support or a different level of experience.
These differences can reveal meaningful segments based on unmet needs. They help the organization avoid treating demographic similarity as evidence that patients need the same solution. Prioritization should retain enough detail to explain whose outcome the proposed improvement will change.
Connect outcomes with development decisions
A target product profile brings the priority outcomes together with business goals, available technology and other relevant requirements. It helps the team agree what success should look like before committing to a concept.
Translate patient outcomes into design inputs and measurable requirements while preserving traceability to the evidence. Define which questions remain uncertain and what research or testing will resolve them.
Evaluate concepts against the outcomes they are intended to improve. Ask whether the proposed approach reduces effort, uncertainty or difficulty for the relevant patients and results in higher satisfaction scores than the baseline solution. A favorable reaction to an attractive prototype provides limited evidence unless the team can connect it with better execution of the job.
Keep patient progress connected to system performance
A priority patient need may involve work performed by a clinician, caregiver or service provider. Investigate those dependencies before deciding that a product change will solve the problem.
The Theory of Constraints helps identify where improvement can change the performance of the wider pathway. A better patient interaction can have limited effect if access to essential support remains constrained.
A Value Management Office can coordinate the initiatives needed to address these connected issues and keep investment aligned with patient outcomes.
“Patient insight becomes useful design evidence when the team can show which outcome matters, who struggles with it and how the solution improves it.”
What comes next
Use patient jobs to be done to review one priority patient job. Can your team state it clearly, map its steps and demonstrate which outcomes are highly important and poorly satisfied?
Start with observation and patient conversations. Build and validate the outcome statements, measure priorities and test concepts against them. That discipline gives Patient Centered Design a practical foundation for better products and more lives changed for good.
The healthcare professional: a hidden constraint in patient flow
A healthcare professional can recognize the value of a medical device and still struggle to incorporate it into care. The referral may be incomplete. Diagnostic evidence may arrive late. Preparation may require extra staff. Follow-up may introduce work that nobody has agreed to own. Managing the patients before and after may require additional staff which adds risk to the business side of the practice.
Those difficulties affect the clinician’s ability to help patients reach and benefit from your solution. They deserve attention during development and throughout deployment.
The purpose is to understand how professionals encounter, assess, recommend and use a solution, and what constraints they encounter in using your solution.
A useful map connects the professional’s experience with patient flow. It helps the organization identify where support, coordination or design changes can improve the delivery of care.
“Clinical enthusiasm cannot create the time, information or supporting capacity needed to deliver a therapy.”
Identify the professionals who shape the pathway
Healthcare professionals perform different jobs at different stages. A referring practitioner, diagnostic specialist, interventional physician, nurse and educator may all influence whether the same patient receives successful care.
Define which groups participate in your pathway and what each contributes. Who recognizes the need? Who establishes eligibility? Who performs the procedure? Who trains the patient? Who monitors outcomes and manages exceptions? Who manages insurance?
Include people whose work makes these actions possible. Coordinators, technicians and administrative staff may arrange appointments, prepare equipment or assemble records. Their contribution can govern whether clinical time is used effectively.
The map should make dependencies visible across roles. It should also clarify which actions fall within your organization’s influence and which require collaboration with care providers or other affected parties.
Distinguish roles from personas
A professional title tells you part of the story. Experience, setting, case volume, access to support, business acumen and familiarity with the therapy can change the work considerably.
An experienced specialist in a well-supported center may encounter different difficulties from a clinician who sees the condition infrequently or works in a rural area. A nurse coordinating a dedicated service may have options unavailable to someone balancing that responsibility with other duties.
Develop personas around these differences. Examine confidence in interpreting evidence, decision authority, available time, training needs and exposure to clinical or organizational risk.
Use research to test the distinctions. Personas should explain variations in behavior and requirements. They should help the team understand why an approach that works in one setting may fail to support another.
Map the journey from first awareness to continuing care
The professional’s journey may begin with awareness of an unmet clinical need or information about a potential solution. It continues through evaluating evidence, discussing alternatives and deciding whether the therapy belongs in their practice.
Adoption can involve local approvals, purchasing, training, changes to referral patterns and coordination with other teams. Clinical use then includes preparation, treatment, documentation, handover and follow-up.
Map these activities without assuming a single linear sequence. Professionals may return to evidence review after a difficult case or revise their approach when colleagues raise concerns.
Distinguish the journey of adopting the therapy from the recurring journey of delivering it to each patient. Both matter, but the barriers and improvement measures can differ.
Capture decisions and dependencies
At each stage, ask what the professional is trying to accomplish and what must be available before the work can proceed.
A decision may depend on diagnostic results, a complete patient history, clear eligibility criteria or advice from another specialty. A procedure may depend on staff, equipment and an appropriate location. Follow-up may depend on information that must be captured earlier.
Show the handovers between roles, including who supplies information and who receives it. Record where uncertainty is resolved and where work is repeated.
This reveals how a product can add burden beyond its immediate interaction. A useful output may still consume scarce clinical time if the professional must retrieve, interpret, reformat and document it through separate systems.
Measure the work and the waiting
The time required for a clinical activity can differ greatly from the time a patient waits to receive it. Both belong on the map.
Measure preparation, clinical work, documentation and recovery from problems where relevant. Record queues, appointment delays and time lost waiting for missing information.
Distinguish professional effort from elapsed time. Some delays consume little active attention but prevent patients progressing. Others require repeated chasing, rescheduling or explanation, drawing capacity away from care.
Define a common unit of work so comparisons remain meaningful. Cases with different complexity may require different analysis. Averages alone can hide the patients or professionals who face the greatest difficulty.
The purpose is to understand usable capacity and patient progress in the actual working environment.
Find the capacity that governs patient flow
A pathway may depend on a small amount of specialist attention surrounded by many competing demands. Headcount alone will not show how much of that attention is available.
Examine what professionals spend their time on, including avoidable administration, repeated assessments and interruptions. Determine whether the relevant constraint is clinical expertise, supporting staff, diagnostic access, equipment or a policy governing work.
The Theory of Constraints helps focus improvement on the factor limiting the whole pathway. Increasing referrals to a service already unable to process them can lengthen waiting without increasing treatment.
Investigate the apparent bottleneck before choosing a response. Better preparation or coordination may release capacity. In other cases, additional resources or changes to the operating model will be necessary.
“The measure of a design improvement is its effect on clinical work and patient progress, including the work it creates elsewhere.”
Observe clinical work at the Gemba
The Gemba is where the work actually happens. Direct observation helps teams understand how professionals use information, equipment and judgment under real conditions.
Observe preparation, interruptions, handovers and the work following the visible procedure. Ask what the professional expected to receive and what they had to obtain independently. Capture workarounds and job “cheat sheets” that are homemade to make working with your solution easier.
Workarounds deserve particular attention. A clinician may keep a private checklist because the formal process omits an important step. A coordinator may repeatedly contact another service because information arrives inconsistently.
These practices reveal requirements that interviews alone may miss. Discuss observations with the people involved so the team does not mistake an isolated event for a routine pattern. Include different settings and experience levels in the research.
Build the baseline from several sources
Gather organizational knowledge and assess technology and business perspectives before moving toward a solution. Apply that discipline to the professional journey.
Use existing clinical insight, training questions, support records and prior implementation experience to draft the map. Identify assumptions and gaps.
Assess the technologies already supporting the work. Consider compatibility with the environment, availability, maintenance, reliability and the practical resources needed for use.
Clarify the business conditions surrounding adoption. Purchasing arrangements, competing initiatives, staffing decisions and local policies may determine whether a clinically attractive solution can be implemented.
This baseline makes research more focused. It also prevents the development team from proposing changes that depend on unavailable capability or unacknowledged commitments from others.
Involve the people who can enable change
Voice of Business research asks leaders about desired outcomes, frustrations, risks and obstacles. It also identifies decision makers and influencers who should participate early.
For a healthcare professional pathway, this means understanding who can authorize changes to responsibilities, processes, resources and technology.
Ask which other initiatives could affect implementation. Identify the independent reviewers who can challenge the team’s assumptions. Agree what success will look like from the perspective of clinical work and patient outcomes.
Make the findings visible to the team members and relevant leaders. A professional may welcome a new approach while lacking the authority to secure the resources it requires. The project needs a realistic route from individual support to organizational adoption.
Use FOCUS to improve the journey
Apply the five-step FOCUS process to the evidence gathered through mapping.
Find the constraint. Identify the activity or resource currently governing the flow of suitable patients through care.
Optimize for it. Protect scarce capacity from incomplete information, unnecessary preparation, avoidable interruptions and repeat work.
Collaborate around it. Coordinate upstream and downstream roles so patients, information and resources arrive when needed.
Uplift it. Add capability or change responsibilities, processes and technology when existing capacity cannot meet the need.
Start Again. Review the pathway after improvement and identify its new limiting factor.
Automation can help when the task is understood and the proposed change supports clinical work. Evaluate its consequences, including review effort, exception handling and any burden transferred to another professional.
Turn the map into a shared improvement plan
The map should lead to a manageable set of changes with clear owners and measures. Test those changes in relevant settings and examine their effect on both professional effort and patient progress.
A Value Management Office can connect the initiatives with priorities, resources and project decisions. Clinical teams and other participants must remain involved in judging whether the changes improve work in practice.
“An effective professional journey supports a clinician through the complete job, from readiness to follow-up.”
What comes next
Use the healthcare professional journey to examine one priority pathway. Can your team explain who performs the work, where capacity is lost and what currently limits patient progress?
Build the map with the professionals involved. Establish the baseline, test an improvement at the constraint and review the result. Patient Centered Design advances when the solution and the surrounding system make beneficial care easier to deliver reliably.
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