Ensemble Ensemble
Menu
Home
  • SOLUTIONS
  • Method
    • A Systemic Approach
    • Theory of Constraints
    • Working with us
  • RESOURCES
    • Productivity Scorecard
    • Articles
    • Subscribe
    • Our book
  • Results
  • ABOUT
    • The Just Work Manifesto
    • Our Story
    • Location
Book a call
loader

Operations | People | Process | Resources | Strategy

View all articles SUBSCRIBE TO NEWSLETTER to get articles and more

STAY CONNECTED AND SIGNUP TO RECEIVE INSIGHT updates

Subscribe

Projecting projects

David Hodes, Founder

Think of your life as a project. You’re born, get educated, go to work, typically start a family and want to make a difference before you hop the twig. But what difference can you make with your remarkably fleeting biblical allotment of three score and ten years?

What motives sit beneath the activities you manifest on a day-to-day basis? What grand vision does project ‘you’ project into a future that stretches well beyond the constraints of the breaths of your mortal coil?

[Listen to audio version, read by David Hodes]

This is Part 2 of our series on Asset constraint management: Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 | Part 5

According to one story of Socrates, who was put on trial for impiety and corrupting the youth, when found guilty, he had the choice of exile or death. He famously declared that ‘the unexamined life is not worth living’ and chose death. I’m not suggesting that we all need to be as radical as Socrates, but he does lay out an ideal we can contemplate. We can choose to live a life of meaning and purpose and think about how we might make our most significant contribution. We can envision a future in which we have applied ourselves to continuously becoming better educated, just, courageous and reasoned. In doing so, we can gain confidence in our capacity to meet our lofty aspirations and work on doing what we love—and loving what we do.

Bill O’Brien, a former CEO of Hanover Insurance and a legend in the world of applying Peter Senge’s ideas about learning organisations, had this to say about the underlying issue:

The fundamental problem with most businesses is that they’re governed by mediocre ideas. Maximising the return on invested capital is an example of a mediocre idea. Mediocre ideas don’t uplift people. They don’t give them something they can tell their children about. They don’t create much meaning.

So the first question to ask when approaching or reviewing your portfolio of work concerns your intention. What is the purpose of what you are doing? If you were to pause from the often frantic pace of the day-to-day, what higher purpose do you imagine? For example, instead of wondering how you are going to digitise your engineering function, you might think about what contribution that work makes to the development of smart cities, and how that, in turn, will help usher in a new generation of environmentally, socially and economically more productive places and spaces to live, work and play.

Or, if you’re working on a space-based biology experiment, instead of first thinking about how you will pull together all the commercial, logistic, regulatory and academic work required to launch your project into space, would it not be more profitable to marvel at the prospect of how many lives you and your team will save through your innovative efforts to cure cancer?

Once you have reflected on what life’s work is worthy of your best efforts, in the world of collective goal-directed endeavours, it is not enough to keep the vision to yourself. For the sake of what you seek to create in the world, there is a need to share the vision and render it more complete by inviting others to contribute to its cocreation. As Yogi Berra famously put it, ‘the future ain’t what it used to be’. But by having a compelling vision, the resulting true north you have cocreated inoculates your enterprise against the inevitable dips, setbacks and wrong turns every endeavour worth doing suffers.

Grand vision coupled to remarkable discipline

The word mythology is made up of two root words: mythos and logos. Mythos is defined as an underlying system of beliefs, especially those dealing with supernatural forces and characteristics of a particular cultural group. Logos is defined in this context as the rational principle that governs and develops the universe. In short, every cultural group, of which your organisation is an example, shares stories about its past, present and future endeavours.

Telling stories about your vision, sharing it with others, drawing on triumphs and failures, and imagining what a glorious and ultimately victorious future might be like, touches the heart and ignites our romantic impulses. Such telling renders the world and our lives within it as something vibrant, more than just a random collection of matter, indifferent to our sensibilities and careless about our fate. The mythos brings us to life as the logos brings us to order—the two are inseparable. But the proper place of the logos is always in service of the mythos. It’s the underpinning logic as to how to go about turning your intention into reality.

“Passion may be necessary, but it’s not sufficient”

Notwithstanding the primacy of the story, the deeper the horizon of your sought after future, the more complex it becomes, and the more raw mental horsepower is required to navigate the complexity. Passion may be necessary, but it’s not sufficient. To realise a grand vision, in addition to passion and smarts, you need remarkable operating discipline.

To give some idea of what this means, consider the concept behind the capability maturity model developed by the US Department of Defense. In brief, it strives to provide organisations with the means to get ever better at reliably delivering planned outcomes in ever shorter times. Through graded steps, each one clearly defined as a maturity level containing specific capabilities, an organisation gets better and better performance and more and more reliable outcomes.

Capability Maturity Model

The warning that comes on the label of capability maturity models is that you can’t skip any of the levels: one builds on another. You can’t start the third floor until the first and second are in place. Having said that, my experience has been that more important than anything is mobilising the will to work in a more systematic fashion. It is never enough, though, to have only the processes, logic and reasoning behind a better method. It would be like saying that being able to skillfully play scales and arpeggios is the reason you learn a musical instrument.

Let’s assume, then, that you have clarity on your vision and that in service of that vision you have set what Jim Collins and Jerry Porras in Built to Last called a BHAG—a big hairy audacious goal. A goal that is big and hairy enough to ensure that you and your team have to think beyond the constraints of your existing mental models because you know that if all you do is to finetune existing frames of reference and ways of working, the task at hand will appear neither reasonable or possible.

Reliably delivering value

To deliver seemingly unreasonable and impossible goals, it is highly desirable to have an enterprise-wide Value Management Office (VMO). The primary purpose of the VMO, as its name implies, is to deliver value. Its architecture is designed to be scalable. At the highest level, it defines and governs global processes for all initiatives and projects. As the ultimate repository of value initiatives, it provides the framework, processes and capabilities required to ensure you choose the right initiatives, prioritised from amongst the many, and that they are successfully led and managed to realise the business value they promise.

The task at hand, then, is to define the portfolio of work that will deliver the desired outcomes. Use of the Logical Thinking Process provides an effective and powerful means of linking the goal to the critical success factors required for its accomplishment. Also, further use of the Thinking Process articulates the necessary conditions needed to ensure the critical success factors are in place and sequenced at the correct level of resolution, breaking down the overall portfolio into associated programs of work.

For example, the critical success factors might involve portfolios that address the categories of people, process and technology. Within those portfolios could be programs of work at a high level which include the upgrade of the ERP system, development of a new integrated operating philosophy and the organisational design and development work necessary to be ready to fully exploit the latest systems and processes.

Below the level of the program, we enter the world of projects and the iron triangle of scope, cost and schedule management. Quantitative work management is a capability that sits within Level 4 of the maturity model mentioned above. It differs from how teams usually plan and perform their work by virtue of the fact that it explicitly looks to understand as detailed a quantification as necessary for what resource, by type, in time and place will be needed to perform any given task on the project. Managing to this level of capability requires a depth of expertise in resource management as well as practical knowledge of finite scheduling. At Ensemble, we achieve this through the use of Critical Chain Project Management.

Having a good handle on finite capacity—and being able to measure portfolio demand against that capacity—is a source of enduring competitive advantage. Many an organisation can become increasingly good at running projects, but are they doing the right ones to deliver the best bang for invested buck? How often do you get the sense that it’s a ‘great landing, wrong airport’? The constraints-based approach to project selection offers a rational means of determining what can and cannot fit into the execution pipeline, what project sequence and timing release provide the optimal business outcome. And what difference it could make to that outcome with additional investment targeted at the pipeline’s bottleneck.

Time is money and money is time. Making money is in and of itself not an inspiring goal. In Bill O’Brien’s words, it doesn’t create much meaning and is a ‘mediocre idea’. However, making money is a necessary condition of being able to continue to invest in getting closer to your vision. Adept management of portfolios, programs and projects is a reliable means of making the money necessary to invest in turning your grandest of visions into reality.

This is Part 2 of our series on Asset constraints management.
Part 1: Asset Constraints Management Capabilities
Part 2: Projecting Projects
Part 3: Producing production
Part 4: Maintaining production
Part 5: Controlling contractors

____________________________

What’s next?

The change from standard thinking to Theory of Constraints (TOC) is both profound and exhilarating. To make it both fun and memorable, we use a business simulation we call The Right Stuff Workshop.

We’d love to run it with you. To learn more:

  • download the brochure (no email required)
  • schedule a call

    ____________________________

    projecting projects
    [Background photo: Projecting by Alex Litvin on Unsplash]

    “Know the whole, focus on the constraint.”

    ____________________________

  • Culture
  • Operations
  • Process
  • Technology

Qairos: Architecting an Ontology of Flow

Ensemble Administrator

David Hodes, Founder

What if the central problem in project execution is not poor reporting, weak discipline, or inconsistent delivery, but the fact that the underlying system was never designed to understand flow in the first place? Qairos starts from a different premise: that work should be modelled not merely as tasks, but as a living system of constraints, dependencies, queues, and throughput.

The first question is no longer “Are we on track?” It is “Where is the constraint?”

Your dashboard is green. The cost performance index sits comfortably above 1. Resource utilisation looks strong. Tasks are being completed. Progress reviews suggest order, control, and predictability. Yet the project is drifting. Engineering approvals are backing up. Crews are busy but not moving the project. Materials arrive only to wait. Management sees comfort in the numbers while the system itself is quietly losing throughput.The issue is not that the organisation cannot see enough.

The issue is that it is seeing the wrong things. This is not fundamentally an execution problem. It is an architectural problem.Traditional project systems are built around a deceptively simple assumption: that the task is the atomic unit of work. Everything rolls up from tasks. Tasks have budgets, durations, owners, and resources. But projects are not simply collections of independent tasks. They are interdependent systems of flow. The governing reality is not activity. It is dependency, capacity, delay, release, queue, and constraint. And in most conventional systems, those things do not exist natively in the model at all.

The system is not failing. It is doing what it was built to do.

Most industrial work management environments still carry the DNA of accounting systems. They are good at capturing costs, assigning budgets, tracking expenditures, and reporting variances. Scheduling was layered onto that worldview. Execution tools were added. Dashboards became more attractive. But the core paradigm did not change. The system still assumes that if enough local activities are monitored, the project’s global performance will somehow reveal itself. That assumption is wrong.

Flow is not missing from your reports. It is missing from your data model.

In any complex environment, throughput is governed by a constraint. The system moves only as fast as the slowest and most capacity-limited point in the chain of dependencies. Work can accumulate there. Downstream teams can idle or compensate with make-work. Upstream teams can generate inventory that has nowhere useful to go. None of this is unusual. It is the normal physics of work in an interdependent system. What is unusual is how thoroughly conventional project systems fail to represent it.

There is usually no native object for a constraint. No primary metric for queue depth. No mechanism for expressing how one process consumes work from another at a given rate. There are predecessor-successor links, but not a true ontology of flow. The result is that management receives precise visibility into local activity while remaining structurally blind to the behaviour that actually governs delivery.

Why green dashboards so often coincide with poor outcomes

Consider a major project where structural engineering approvals are the real bottleneck. Construction teams cannot progress critical work until designs are released. Procurement can deliver materials exactly as planned, but if approved drawings are late, those materials simply wait. Construction supervisors, pressured to keep crews productive, generate preparatory work, rework, or non-critical tasks. Resource utilisation stays high. Procurement performance looks strong. Cost variance remains acceptable. On the dashboard, nearly everything looks healthy.

But the project is not flowing. It is spending money efficiently on the wrong work. The constraint is starving downstream throughput while non-constraint functions optimise themselves around a false picture of success. This is the great deception of local metrics. They tell each part of the system that it is succeeding while the whole is deteriorating.

The system spent money efficiently on the wrong work

The problem is not that the reports are inaccurate. The problem is that they are measuring symptoms instead of causes. They can tell you that Task A is late or Resource Pool B is overloaded. They cannot tell you that the governing reason is a queue building upstream at the one point in the system that truly determines throughput.

The hidden damage done by the pursuit of utilisation

One of the clearest examples of this distortion is the treatment of utilisation. In traditional management logic, high utilisation is almost always read as a positive sign. It suggests productive labour, efficient supervision, and strong operational discipline. But in a system governed by constraints, non-constraint resources must have excess capacity by definition. Their role is not to remain fully occupied at all times. Their role is to support the constraint and protect the system’s throughput.

When management systems reward high utilisation indiscriminately, supervisors are pushed to keep people busy, whether or not the work contributes to flow. That pressure creates premature work, excess work-in-progress, rework, administrative noise, and inventory that has to be managed later. Labour is consumed, but throughput does not improve. In many cases, it worsens because the organisation expends effort on competing activities instead of subordinating itself to the system’s real needs.

High utilisation in the wrong place is not efficiency. It is expensive distraction.

The accounting view struggles to distinguish between labour spent advancing throughput and labour spent creating expensive distractions. Both consume hours. Both can look productive in reports. But one protects the system and the other burdens it.

Why intelligent people cannot fix a structurally blind system

Experienced leaders often sense that something is wrong. They recognise that the project appears busy but is not decisively productive. They notice that certain approvals, interfaces, or decisions seem to govern the pace of everything else. But when they try to raise the issue, they are asked to show the data. And the system cannot provide it in a usable form.

There is no live queue-depth signal. No model of production and consumption rates between processes. No architecture that elevates the constraint into view. So even correct intuition struggles to become operational action. The issue is not a lack of intelligence. It is the absence of representational infrastructure.

You cannot manage what your system cannot represent.

At the same time, incentives reinforce the blindness. Construction managers are measured on crew utilisation and cost. Procurement teams are measured on delivery performance. Engineers are measured on their own commitments. Few, if any, are measured on system throughput. Everyone behaves rationally according to the metrics that govern them. The irrationality emerges at the level of the whole.

When projects fail, execution is blamed for architectural flaws

Once the pain is undeniable, organisations almost always diagnose the problem as one of execution. They tighten controls, add oversight, increase reporting cadence, restructure teams, or replace leaders. Yet these interventions operate inside the same broken frame. They assume the model was sound and the people fell short. More often, the opposite is true: the people did exactly what the system told them to do.

It’s impossible to execute your way out of a planning and control architecture that cannot see the thing governing throughput.

If the system cannot identify the constraint, it cannot prioritise correctly. If it cannot prioritise correctly, it cannot subordinate non-critical work. If it cannot subordinate, then local success will continue to masquerade as global progress. What appears to be poor execution is frequently faithful execution of a structurally incorrect plan.

From measurement to intelligence

The real shift is not from one dashboard to a better dashboard. It is from measurement to intelligence. Measurement tells you what happened. Intelligence reveals what is happening, why it is happening, and what is likely to happen next.

In a flow architecture, dependencies are not merely sequences of tasks. They are explicit relationships between producing and consuming processes. Capacity is represented. Demand is represented. Queue tolerance is visible. The system can identify where work is accumulating, where release rates exceed processing rates, and where throughput is most exposed.

The system must be re-architected around flow as a native concept.

Constraint identification becomes the first organising principle rather than a secondary analytical exercise. The primary question changes. Instead of asking whether tasks are on schedule, the organisation asks where the constraint is and whether the system is protecting it. Reporting changes accordingly. Queue depth at dependency points matters. Buffer consumption matters. Constraint load matters. Release logic matters. Task completion percentages become secondary rather than definitive.

Once this ontology is in place, genuinely intelligent control becomes possible. If a delay occurs, the system can rapidly identify the new governing point, recalculate the likely impact, and indicate which activities should pause, continue, or be redirected. Non-constraint resources can be prevented from working too far ahead and generating waste. Local optimisation becomes harder to sustain because the system itself embodies a different logic.

Why this feels threatening to many organisations

Better measurement is easy to welcome because it usually leaves authority structures intact. It provides richer reports, cleaner dashboards, and more polished governance rituals. Intelligence is different. It challenges the way decisions are made. It reveals misalignment in real time.

Intelligence forces uncomfortable questions about whether teams are pursuing the right objectives at all.

That is why true intelligence architecture is not simply a software procurement exercise. It is a capability shift. It demands a different understanding of work, different leadership habits, and different forms of accountability. It requires organisations to replace the comfort of descriptive metrics with the discipline of causal visibility.

The irreversible moment

There is a point at which the old worldview becomes impossible to recover. It comes when a delay is logged and, instead of waiting days for a variance report, the system immediately shows the shift in the governing constraint, highlights the downstream implications, and recommends how to avoid generating fresh waste.

What once required retrospective interpretation becomes immediate, operational sense-making.

Once leaders have experienced that, traditional reporting starts to feel theatrical. It becomes obvious that static green metrics can coexist with a system that is slowly choking itself. At that point the shift is no longer conceptual. It becomes visceral. The organisation can see the difference between being informed about the past and being guided in the present.

Where transformation begins

The transformation does not begin with replacing every tool. It begins with changing the ontology. Dependency mapping must become explicit and non-negotiable. The organisation must define not merely which tasks follow which tasks, but which processes produce for which other processes, at what rate, with what capacity, and with what tolerance for waiting. Once that happens, the constraint can become visible by design.

This is where Qairos enters the picture. Qairos is not simply another layer of reporting over traditional project controls. It represents a different way of modelling work, one in which flow is native, constraints are explicit, and intelligence emerges from the architecture itself. It recognises that the system should not merely record activity. It should help the enterprise understand the living dynamics that determine safe, timely, cost-effective delivery.

Rethinking work management starts with rethinking what the system can see.

That matters now more than ever. Modern projects operate amid volatility, long supply chains, digital interdependence, regulatory pressure, and little tolerance for overruns. Constraints shift faster than periodic reporting can detect. By the time old systems explain where the problem was, the system has often moved on. In that environment, conventional measurement is not just outdated. It is structurally incompatible with the speed and complexity of the work.

Every project platform embodies a worldview. One worldview says that control comes from measuring tasks and maximising utilisation. The other says that control comes from understanding flow and governing the constraint. Qairos stands with the latter. It is an argument for a more intelligent ontology of work, one that makes the hidden physics of delivery visible, actionable, and ultimately governable.

Qairos is built for organisations that want more than retrospective reporting. It is for leaders who want to understand the true dynamics of flow, protect throughput, and make better decisions while the work is still unfolding.

Book a call
View all articles

READ MORE

  • Language
  • Operations
  • Organisation
  • Process
  • Strategy

Measurably reliable and agile

David Hodes, Founder

Few performance standards deliver the competitive advantage you gain by keeping your promise to deliver on time, doing so faster than your competitors, and suffering no defects while you’re about it.(more…)

READ MORE

More than just work

Discover better ways to do better work.

Fresh insights, every Friday

We alternate our own actionable articles with three relevant links from other authorities.

We’ll only use your email address for this newsletter. No sales calls

Subscribe to 'Perspectives'

More Than Just Work
Weekly productivity insights

Subscribe
  • EnsembleConsultingGroup
  • Share Page
  • +61 2 9387 3955
  • info@EnsembleConsultingGroup.com

Site proudly designed by Brand Fibre

More than just work

Discover better ways to do better work.

Fresh insights, every Friday

We alternate our own actionable articles with three relevant links from other authorities.


We’ll only use your email address for this newsletter. No sales calls

What is to get in touch with you?



white_arrow white_bidirection_arrow arrow-right-green arrow-right-orange arrow-right arrow-left blue_arrow blue_round_arrow tick

Want us to get in touch with you?

 
Thank you for your interest. We will call you back.